Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 8.071035 8.903464 9.810142 10.875334 12.097960 13.463894 15.114464
2026-01-25 6.811952 7.882929 9.126575 10.691939 12.630288 14.979383 18.084742
2026-02-01 6.058555 7.238299 8.668806 10.557690 13.027083 16.205127 20.705861
2026-02-08 5.489495 6.721766 8.267170 10.386942 13.283135 17.201841 23.089475
2026-02-15 5.022527 6.274335 7.888244 10.173382 13.414658 17.994907 25.248177
2026-02-22 4.694398 5.970777 7.658005 10.117517 13.730024 19.049734 27.916175
2026-03-01 4.318903 5.570558 7.257796 9.774711 13.576666 19.367163 29.439295
2026-03-08 3.947809 5.148950 6.793641 9.293237 13.156536 19.206936 30.116966
2026-03-15 3.714710 4.902625 6.556618 9.121315 13.185335 19.748939 32.072234
2026-03-22 3.774157 5.070357 6.921221 9.880514 14.754434 23.017029 39.574985
2026-03-29 3.680067 5.008367 6.940467 10.100723 15.459251 24.887728 44.777734
2026-04-05 3.482934 4.782574 6.697348 9.879431 15.386959 25.339280 47.137037
2026-04-12 3.399541 4.727072 6.718664 10.104278 16.140239 27.480916 53.751003
2026-04-19 3.232031 4.534956 6.515373 9.938090 16.174956 28.239933 57.412142
2026-04-26 3.088722 4.371833 6.346996 9.816114 16.274981 29.138206 61.626248
2026-05-03 2.950121 4.208615 6.168213 9.660922 16.293578 29.865369 65.589583
2026-05-10 2.814285 4.042999 5.975886 9.466711 16.215489 30.371290 69.095599
2026-05-17 2.716378 3.932794 5.868274 9.415888 16.414763 31.517432 74.729283
2026-05-24 2.575916 3.748090 5.626917 9.103839 16.054436 31.335788 76.393877
2026-05-31 2.420763 3.533842 5.326540 8.665021 15.397303 30.383606 75.473923
2026-06-07 2.325944 3.414284 5.181527 8.508175 15.317755 30.805157 79.081597
2026-06-14 2.383769 3.546998 5.474239 9.200183 17.119159 36.144362 101.221955
2026-06-21 2.354842 3.533716 5.511636 9.400608 17.867458 38.950387 115.741188